After signing Juan Soto to the richest contract in sports history, people familiar with the New York Mets’ thinking about filling roster holes said the club plans to act “aggressively yet smart.”
Such phrasing suggests the Mets will take their shots with some of the talent available on the market but may want to avoid being tied to another long contract. So it would seem their preference, even in some cases with large annual average values, would be to go short-term.
That might mean the Mets prefer homegrown star Pete Alonso to return on a shorter deal rather than conceding entirely if Alonso’s desired figures run on the long end. That might mean a reluctance to go five years, possibly even four years, for Sean Manaea, a pitcher they’d like to re-sign. And it might mean wanting Walker Buehler, someone who’d fit in well with them, for something like a one-year deal with an option rather than a straight multiyear pact.
The Mets inked Soto last week at 15 years and $765 million, underscoring in big bold lettering owner Steve Cohen’s willingness to spend for what he wants.
What Cohen desires most, though, is a perennial winner, not a team prone to big ups and downs.
So while a team’s winter is always difficult to predict because opportunities sometimes arise unexpectedly, it wouldn’t be surprising if the rest of the Mets’ offseason reflected a more measured approach.
Steve Cohen (left) made a splash by paying up for Juan Soto, but expect upcoming moves by David Stearns to be more understated. (Al Bello / Getty Images)
In Soto, the Mets saw a generational player and viewed splurging on him as a rare opportunity. He’s 26 years old and one of the game’s most prolific hitters. They’ll continue looking for ways to supplement a roster that includes star Francisco Lindor, veteran Brandon Nimmo and breakout player Mark Vientos. But just because they committed so much to Soto, doesn’t necessarily mean they’ll fill other holes by any means necessary.
The Mets splurged multiple times a few years ago with mixed results at best. One year, they experienced success. The next year, they needed to pivot. That is why Cohen hired David Stearns as president of baseball operations, to run things with an emphasis on viability.
Sensible trade options exist for the Mets, particularly if they don’t match with free agents such as Manaea, Buehler, Nick Pivetta or someone similar. There is no guarantee the San Diego Padres’ Dylan Cease or the Houston Astros’ Framber Valdez will be traded, but both pitchers seem to work under the Mets’ plan. They’re both set to be free agents after the season. Thus, they both would be motivated to have big seasons. In either, the Mets could see an opportunity.
Other opportunities to upgrade the pitching staff may involve starters under club control. Garrett Crochet, 25, stood out as an example. The Mets engaged with the White Sox about Crochet before Chicago dealt him to the Red Sox, which indicated a willingness to part with high-end talent from the farm system. But talks between the Mets and White Sox went only so far because the Mets didn’t want to part with what the White Sox wanted and ultimately received (multiple top prospects). The process served as a data point in learning how Stearns operates with the Mets.
After reaching the NLCS in his second year leading the Mets, Stearns doled out his three largest contracts with the club: Soto, obviously, plus Frankie Montas (two years, $34 million) and Clay Holmes (three years, $38 million). In the case of Holmes, Stearns used money to beat out other teams interested in converting the All-Star reliever into a starter. Still, that’s not exactly akin to going an extra year on someone like Alex Bregman. It’s more taking a shot on someone based on processes and acting with conviction within guided parameters. Veteran agents often compliment Stearns for his ability to collect information, read the market and then make a decision. He is not easily susceptible to being on the wrong end of a bad contract.
While the Soto deal highlights Cohen’s capabilities, what comes next figures to feature Stearns and his front office’s track record.
(Top photo of Juan Soto and David Stearns: David Dee Delgado / Getty Images)
